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Showing posts with label neocons. Show all posts
Showing posts with label neocons. Show all posts

Tuesday, August 19, 2008

McCain, Musharraf, and The Ways of The World

John McCain is Mr. Foreign Policy, Mr. Experience, the one candidate who's been in government longer than marble. He's seen leaders come and leaders go, he's seen entire nations fall to history, he's seen wars won and wars lost. And all this experience seems to have gone completely over his head. In all those years in government, John McCain doesn't seem to have learned a damned thing.

The lessons of Vietnam are clearly lost on the Vietnam vet. A war based on lies cannot be won, because the objectives aren't based on truth. Beat the living hell out of it all you want, but your aren't going to get that square peg into that round hole. The hammer of the military has its limitations.

But, like free market moonies who believe that the "genius of the market" can do anything -- including predicting terrorist attacks -- McCain is a military moonie who seems to believe that force is the only way to do anything.

As a result, McCain's choices of international allies reflects Bush's -- and a history of failure that goes back throughout the 20th century. Diplomacy is for wussypants appeasers. Stalin's quote -- "The Pope? How many divisions has he got?" -- could easily be applied to anyone who shares McCain's thinking. Real allies have guns, because only guns have influence. The world is an awful and dangerous place and only the strong are worth knowing. The Dalai Lama is for photo ops and dictators are for actual work. Nowhere is more apparent than in McCain's support for disgraced Pakistani dictator Pervez Musharraf.



Prior to 9/11, Musharraf was a nobody -- just another strongman who'd taken over a developing nation in a coup. How much of an nobody is demonstrated in Reuters' Factbox; "Musharraf's evolving relationship with Washington":

November 3, 1999 - In a test of foreign policy acumen, a television news reporter in Boston asks then-Republican presidential candidate George W. Bush to name the leaders of four global "hot spots," including Pakistan. Bush cannot name Musharraf, who had taken power in a coup a month earlier, referring to him as "the general."


No word on whether Bush giggled when he was told Musharraf's first name was Pervez, but I think it's probably a given. Bush didn't know who Musharraf was because he probably thought he'd have no use for him. That changed.

September 11, 2001 - After Al Qaeda attacks the United States, Musharraf reverses Pakistan's support for the Taliban in Afghanistan, which had sheltered Osama bin Laden's network, and throws its weight behind Bush's war on terrorism. Pakistan's Islamist opposition calls him a U.S. stooge.

June 2003 - Washington promises billions of dollars in aid for Pakistan -- it hands over more than $10 billion between 2001 and 2008 -- while White House officials say Bush presses Musharraf to move toward democracy and stop extremists from launching attacks on Afghanistan from Pakistan. Many al Qaeda leaders had fled across the border to Pakistan when U.S. forces invaded Afghanistan.

March 25, 2004 - Bush waives sanctions on Pakistan imposed after Musharraf seized power in a coup, saying this will facilitate a transition to democracy and help the fight against international terrorism.


Musharraf, the classic military usurper, suddenly fit the mold of other unsavory US allies -- Augusto Pinochet and Saddam Hussein come to mind. He had men, he had guns, and he had the sort of power that only an autocrat has. "[D]ictatorships have the characteristic of being efficient," Former Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld once said. "They don't have to worry about the press. They don't have to worry about parliaments. They don't have to worry about a court system. They just do things, efficiently, immediately -- poorly, but quickly."

But the problem with dictatorships is that they're always illegitimate. The dictator holds on to power through any means necessary or he doesn't hold on to power at all. The brutality and corruption of dictatorships are born of desperation -- they're always in danger of being legitimately deposed. Musharraf was lucky; many are removed from existence altogether when they lose power, not just removed from office.

Dictatorships are generally seen as the most stable governments, because their oppressive nature makes immediate change unlikely. And, as Rumsfeld pointed out, they don't waste a lot of time screwing around with debate. A dictatorship would seem to make an ideal ally for a nation concerned more with effectiveness than with human rights, democracy, and the rule of international law.

But the dictatorship is a government in one man. As a result, it must be short-lived. An alliance with a dictatorship is by no definition a long range strategy. It's a momentary convenience. John McCain was a big fan of that convenience.

After the assassination of Benazir Bhutto, McCain couldn't find enough nice things to say about Pervez Musharraf. Where many were calling on Musharraf to step down, McCain was running to his defense. McCain called him a "personally scrupulously honest" man who deserved "the benefit of the doubt" on uniting Pakistan and that I continue to believe Musharraf has done a pretty good job, done a lot of the things that we wanted him to do.

He even cast Musharraf as the savior of Pakistan:

Speaking to about 50 people packed into a cafe in Iowa, McCain said U.S. politicians should keep in mind that Musharraf has been a largely reliable ally who agreed to hold elections.

"Prior to Musharraf, Pakistan was a failed state," McCain said. "They had corrupt governments and they would rotate back and forth and there was corruption, and Musharraf basically restored order. So you're going to hear a lot of criticism about Musharraf that he hasn't done everything we wanted him to do, but he did agree to step down as head of the military and he did get the elections."


And, now that Musharraf has stepped down rather than be impeached, McCain can't get far enough away from his former good buddy. And that's what McCain hasn't learned, that dictatorships are only stable for the blink of an eye, historically speaking. That promoting democracy will serve us for centuries, while supporting a dictator serves us for one man's lifetime -- or an even shorter term. That the guys with the guns have no lasting power.

Foreign policy has been poorly focused for more than a century. McCain would continue that myopic focus. As I said, he hasn't learned a damned thing.

-Wisco

Tuesday, April 10, 2007

Four Years of Pointless Violence

The fourth anniversary of the fall of Baghdad has come and gone. Associated Press has a great blow by blow timeline of the violence that happened yesterday. Just one day, symbolic of all of them. The day got off to an inauspicious start.

4 a.m. Police in Baqouba said U.S. forces shot at an ambulance, believing someone in the vehicle had opened fire on them. The driver and the patient were not hurt.


All in all, 25 people were found dead or killed in Iraq. Still, some would argue that we're making progress in Iraq. John McCain, continuing his BS campaign, told reporters yesterday, "...I believe we are making progress. These are small signs of progress. They are not large signs of progress. We will know [more] when we get more of our surge over there." No word on what these 'small signs of progress' actually are, but trust John -- he's a straightshooter.

The White House was less circumspect.

Editor & Publisher:

A huge anti-American protest swept two cities in Iraq today, but White House spokesman Gordon Johndroe told reporters this only underscores how much "progress" the U.S. is making in that country.

Four years since the fall of Baghad, Iraq "is now a place where people can freely gather and express their opinions, and that was something they could not do under Saddam." Johndrove said, traveling with President Bush to Arizona.


You know what's fun? That the White House had to go all the way back to Saddam Freakin' Hussein to give an example of when things actually sucked more. And, by any other measure, iraqis are worse off than they were under Hussein -- carbombing wasn't so much of a problem back then, for example. No civil war. No armed gangs. Hospitals were actually functioning. Little things like that.

Writes iraqi blogger Faiza al-Arji, "[T]he Bush administration lies, sending false stories and illusionary successes about Iraq, and on the same time; desisting the international community from its responsibilities towards the Iraqis... A side of lies broadcasted by the satellite channels about what is taking place in Iraq, and another side of negligence, the covering up to the Iraqi's suffering, inside and outside of Iraq..."

Sounds overjoyed, doesn't she?

The truth is that we haven't freed these people at all. They're all stuck in their houses, hoping that militias or US forces just keep going by when they roll down the street.

The worst thing about the last four years has been the bottomless arrogance of those who began this war. The idea that you can force people to accept democracy is idiotic on its face and the assertion that we have the right to 'free' whoever we choose amounts to an admission of criminal aggression.

According to former iraqi government insider Ali A. Allawi, "The corroded and corrupt state of Saddam was replaced by the corroded, inefficient, incompetent and corrupt state of the new order." Not so much of an improvement as a downgrade.

What the neocons didn't count on was their own stupidity, avarice, and cowardice. When the time for tough decisions came, they pretended everything was going great. Now that the time for tough decisions has passed, they pretend they made the tough decisions. And, throughout it all, they carried a completely undeserved air of satisfaction in the knowledge that they were right.

Let's not forget the stunning hypocrisy. While waving flags and declaring themselves the spreaders of freedom, they tapped our phones, took away our rights, punished those who dissented, and brought the US as close to a police state as it's been in a good long time. They subverted law and robbed people of their votes. They stole the treasury and handed it out to their donors. And, every step of the way, they wrapped themselves in the flag and told everyone that it was anti-american to complain about it. Freedom of speech meant you had the right to shut the hell up.

It'd be great to watch all of this fly back in their faces if it weren't for an inconvenient set of facts -- Iraq is still there, the neocons are still there, and the Bush administration hasn't learned a damned thing. Is it any wonder that entire towns are voting to impeach?

And you know how Bush keeps saying that he's the Commander in Chief and everyone has to listen to him? That's BS. He's not your CiC, he's not congress's, and -- *gasp* -- he's not the CiC of the National Guard. That'd be the governors of the states.

In the end, it'll be history that judges Bush and the neocons -- assuming they don't wind up in a court of law before they die -- and it'll be history that will remember them as an example, like Nixon or McCarthy, of how not to govern. The Bush administration will be remembered as the greatest failure in american history. That's a record I hope stands until long, long after I'm dead -- I doubt the republic could survive worse.

So, four years after we rolled into Iraq, we have no clue as to when we'll roll out. As far as Bush and McCain are concerned, we'll never roll out -- give Iraq a state flower, a star on the flag, and an NFL team. We're staying.

But the american people want out and the american people can only be ignored for so long. The '06 elections show that the GOP ignored us for too long as it is. And they continue to do so. If they stay on this path, a strong drive for impeachment is probable and a electoral route in '08 is a certainty.


It's just too bad that people in Iraq have to pay in blood for us to learn from our mistakes.

--Wisco

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